Our 2019 Outlook

2019 Outlook. The market remains volatile, but macrocast continues to indicate a low probability of a recessionary bear market. Read more

October 2018

Despite the recent bout of market volatility, macrocast continues to indicate a low probability of a recessionary bear market. Read more

September 2018

There is nothing from macrocast that is suggesting that a major bear market is on the horizon. Read more

August 2018

macrocast remain constructive. Risk assets remain favorable. Read more

July 2018

macrocast continues to indicate low probability of a recessionary bear market. Read more

June 2018

The positive data from macrocast surged higher in June. Real retail sales reached a new all-time high in May, and initial claims for unemployment remain at historic lows. Read more

May 2018

The data from macrocast remains positive and continues to suggest risk of a major bear market is low. Read more

April 2018

The latest macrocast score was unchanged from a month ago, but higher than our last quarterly review in January. According to the model, the probability of a large and sustained bear market remains low. Read more

March 2018

macrocast continues to suggest risk of a major bear market is low. Read more

February 2018

The recent 10% decline in the market was the first since February 2016. The amount of the correction was typical of a market correction, but the speed in which it occurred was historic. Read more

January 2018

2017 Market Year in Review. Declines in the macrocast score make sense considering how the market performed in 2017. A deeper analysis reveals that market’s strength was the primary driver in pushing macrocast lower. Read more